ICYMI: Poll: Lombardo still holds sizable lead over GOP governor opponents

May 18, 2022

In case you missed it, today The Nevada Independent released a new poll with OH Predictive, showing Sheriff Lombardo’s significant lead in the Republican primary.

The poll shows Sheriff Lombardo with a 20-point lead over the primary field. As the report notes, today’s poll mirrors a recent poll from The Hill/Emerson College, which showed Lombardo up by 19 points.

Bottom Line: “As our campaign continues to travel across the state, more and more Nevadans are resonating with Sheriff Lombardo’s message of restoring law and order, fixing our broken schools, and building a stronger economy. Nevadans know that Joe has the leadership and experience they can trust to get our state back on track.” -Elizabeth Ray, Lombardo for Governor Spokesperson

Poll: Lombardo still holds sizable lead over GOP governor opponents Gilbert, Heller

Sean Golonka, Tabitha Mueller

The Nevada Independent 

With less than two weeks until the start of early voting, Clark County Sheriff Joe Lombardo maintains a significant lead over his fellow Republican gubernatorial candidates, according to a new Nevada Independent/OH Predictive Insights poll.

Results of the poll, conducted from May 10-12, indicate that Lombardo holds a commanding 20-point lead over his closest competitor, Reno attorney and former boxer Joey Gilbert (35 percent to 15 percent), and a 24-point lead over former U.S. Sen. Dean Heller (35 percent to 11 percent).

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That lead places Lombardo as the “clear favorite” in the primary race, said Mike Noble, chief of research and managing partner of OH Predictive Insights.

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The poll sampled 500 likely GOP primary voters via live phone calls and had a 4.4 percent margin of error.

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In the primary race, Trump has endorsed Lombardo, while the Nevada Republican Party endorsed Gilbert at a recent central committee meeting. 

“A Trump endorsement is currently the most impactful endorsement a Republican candidate can receive in a primary election right now,” Noble said.

As results from early-primary elections in states such as Ohio and West Virginia have shown, Trump-endorsed candidates have performed quite well, Noble added, noting that Trump’s endorsement is not a hindrance to Lombardo and the outcome of the primary could be a harbinger of the waning power of the state GOP’s influence.

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In previous polling, Lombardo also appeared to be the front-runner among the leading Republican candidates when each was pitted against incumbent Democratic Gov. Steve Sisolak in a hypothetical general election. Results from that April poll placing Sisolak against Lombardo showed the sheriff trailing behind the governor by a sizable but surmountable margin.

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Read the full piece here. 

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